

Influenza H1N1 pandemics has been spreading throughout the world in unprecedented speed suggesting high level of airborne transmission and high numbers of mild/asymptomatic clinical forms. The initial strategy of treating only severe or allegedly risk group patients lead to increased death toll in countries which adopted it. Surprisingly everything (except the kind of influenza virus) about the current pandemics had been forecast and written in medical journal such as Emerging Infectious Disease and others. High rate attack in young people, increased risk for pregnant women , the efficacy and cost effectiveness of prompt and precocious use of oseltamivir, vaccine shortage, etc were repeatedly analyzed and further published in medical journals but it seems nobody was interest in such information. Otherwise health officials of Brazil and other countries like Argentina and Chile wouldn’t have allowed what happened. Fortunately the lethality of H1N1 pandemic influenza was very low and will probably became something digestible for public opinion. Let’s see what’s going to happen in near future and if some lessons will be learned in advance for more dangerous epidemics treats.
